Snowshoe Mountain

000
FXUS61 KRLX 060601
AFDRLX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
201 AM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
06Z Aviation Discussion Update. Forecast remains on track, with
today marking the start of a stretch of dry weather heading into
the middle of the upcoming work week.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High pressure settling into the region will promote a stretch
of pleasant weather through midweek, with cooler temperatures 
and lowered humidity. A warming trend and increased potential 
for showers and storms makes an appearance once again by 
Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Shower and storm coverage winds down early this morning now that
the cold front has completed its slow passage through the
forecast area. One last batch of nocturnal convection was
shifting southeastward at the time of writing, and should clip
our southern zones within the next hours before a stretch of dry
weather commences for the next several days.

The forecast area will relish within building high pressure
beginning today. Post-frontal northerly flow will also yield a
break from this past week's heat wave, promoting Chamber of
Commerce weather conditions for the rest of the Labor Day
holiday weekend. This will feature cooler temperatures, lowered
humidity, and mostly clear skies.

Temperatures will then steadily climb back above their
climatological norms heading into midweek as the orientation of
the surface high shifts east. The return of onshore flow and
rising upper level heights will then encourage daytime highs to
branch back into the lower 90s for parts of the Tri-State area,
but remaining dry through the day Wednesday.

A cold front approaches late Wednesday night, yielding the
return of showers and storms for the second half of the work
week.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Aside from a few lingering showers across the coalfields in the
wake of a cold front, the bulk of our airspace has trended
towards a drier state. However, excessive moisture left behind
by the front, coupled with calming winds, has allowed for the
majority of terminals to topple down into LIFR early this
morning within river valley fog and low stratus. This will
prevail into Sunday morning before eroding around daybreak, then
branching out into widespread VFR conditions for the rest of the
Zulu day. Winds will start off calm, then become light out of
the north on Sunday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...
     
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Low to Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and restrictions associated with 
fog/stratus early this morning may vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                                   SUN 09/06/26
UTC 1HRLY       05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16
EDT 1HRLY       01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    L    L    M    M    M    M    H    L    M    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  M    H    H    L    L    L    L    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  M    L    L    L    M    L    L    L    H    M    M    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  M    L    M    M    M    M    M    M    L    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    L    L    L    L    L    M    M    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    L    L    L    M    M    M    L    L    H    H    H

AFTER 06Z MONDAY...
IFR conditions possible within river valley fog during the 
mornings through early next week.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...05